Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.060728 0.068682 0.076799 0.085672 0.095070 0.104699 0.115286
2025-09-21 0.050115 0.062042 0.074765 0.089213 0.105045 0.121756 0.140624
2025-09-28 0.041829 0.056074 0.071850 0.090318 0.111080 0.133465 0.159207
2025-10-05 0.039347 0.055931 0.074795 0.097341 0.123113 0.151277 0.184030
2025-10-12 0.033179 0.050702 0.071286 0.096478 0.125814 0.158342 0.196625
2025-10-19 0.029392 0.047891 0.070233 0.098116 0.131069 0.168025 0.211914
2025-10-26 0.025603 0.044662 0.068351 0.098493 0.134630 0.175589 0.224646
2025-11-02 0.022890 0.042544 0.067612 0.100053 0.139420 0.184436 0.238724
2025-11-09 0.019977 0.039855 0.065932 0.100281 0.142477 0.191160 0.250272
2025-11-16 0.016311 0.035711 0.062085 0.097578 0.141819 0.193387 0.256490
2025-11-23 0.013201 0.032007 0.058554 0.095055 0.141202 0.195520 0.262475
2025-11-30 0.011691 0.030591 0.058002 0.096254 0.145078 0.202919 0.274558
2025-12-07 0.010400 0.029481 0.057927 0.098207 0.150090 0.211934 0.288874
2025-12-14 0.009717 0.029338 0.059210 0.101967 0.157409 0.223787 0.306633
2025-12-21 0.008423 0.027951 0.058604 0.103148 0.161441 0.231654 0.319665
2025-12-28 0.008852 0.029757 0.062706 0.110681 0.173540 0.249311 0.344341
2026-01-04 0.007223 0.027470 0.060617 0.109756 0.174826 0.253801 0.353334
2026-01-11 0.006371 0.026565 0.060534 0.111511 0.179499 0.262389 0.367193
2026-01-18 0.005343 0.025116 0.059518 0.111915 0.182387 0.268762 0.378378
2026-01-25 0.004664 0.024306 0.059442 0.113587 0.186886 0.277095 0.391903
2026-02-01 0.003825 0.022944 0.058395 0.113830 0.189481 0.283047 0.402535
2026-02-08 0.002666 0.020400 0.055238 0.110935 0.187853 0.283680 0.406664
2026-02-15 0.001757 0.018104 0.052304 0.108230 0.186382 0.284435 0.410881